{"id":2772,"date":"2017-05-05T12:50:15","date_gmt":"2017-05-05T10:50:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/?page_id=2772"},"modified":"2017-09-07T15:15:44","modified_gmt":"2017-09-07T13:15:44","slug":"activite-23-target-motad-solution","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/auto-formation\/sequence3\/cours-1-lagriculture-une-activite-risquee\/lecon-23-chance-constrained-model-et-target-motad\/activite-23-target-motad-solution\/","title":{"rendered":"Activit\u00e9 24 : Target MOTAD &#8211; Solution"},"content":{"rendered":"<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td><strong>Cas sans aversion au risque<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Risque Target-MOTAD<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Assolement<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>16 ha de bl\u00e9 dur<br \/>\n108 ha de tournesol<br \/>\n100 ha de choux semence<\/td>\n<td>100 ha de bl\u00e9 dur<br \/>\n48 ha de ma\u00efs semence<br \/>\n17 ha de concombre semence<br \/>\n35 ha de choux semence<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Location de terre<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>24 ha<\/td>\n<td>0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Revenu moyen<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>469 320<\/td>\n<td>360 495<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Revenu minimal (\u00e9tat de la nature)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>-732 029 (E7)<\/td>\n<td>60 000 (E1)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>\u00c9cart type<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>650 654<\/td>\n<td>221 934<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Travail salari\u00e9<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>408 heures<\/td>\n<td>416 heures<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>L&rsquo;\u00e9cart type dans le cas d&rsquo;un mod\u00e8le de risque et en particulier un mod\u00e8le target MOTAD est plus faible que dans un m\u00eame mod\u00e8le sans risque. En effet, la prise en compte de l&rsquo;aversion au risque conduit le mod\u00e8le \u00e0 choisir des solutions o\u00f9 les revenus sont moins importants mais plus proches les uns des autres. C&rsquo;est ce que l&rsquo;on voit par exemple dans le revenu minimal avec -732029 dans le mod\u00e8le sans aversion au risque contre 60000 dans le mod\u00e8le avec risque.<\/p>\n<p>L&rsquo;agriculteur arr\u00eatera de louer des terres dans le mod\u00e8le Target MOTAD et diversifiera son assolement.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Si vous n\u2019avez pas r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 \u00e9crire le mod\u00e8le ou pour v\u00e9rifier vos \u00e9quations, comparez avec le mod\u00e8le suivant\u00a0: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/ModelEco\/modeles\/modelEco_lauragaisTargetMOTAD.zip\">modelEco_lauragaisTargetMOTAD.gms<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/auto-formation\/sequence3\/cours-1-lagriculture-une-activite-risquee\/lecon-23-chance-constrained-model-et-target-motad\/activite-23-target-motad\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-829\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-829\" src=\"http:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/files\/2016\/08\/retourAlEnonce.png\" alt=\"retourAlEnonce\" width=\"175\" height=\"61\" \/><\/a><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/auto-formation\/sequence3\/cours-1-lagriculture-une-activite-risquee\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/files\/2016\/07\/retourAuSommaireDuCours.png\" alt=\"retourAuSommaireDuCours\" width=\"200\" height=\"54\" \/><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cas sans aversion au risque Risque Target-MOTAD Assolement 16 ha de bl\u00e9 dur 108 ha de tournesol 100 ha de choux semence 100 ha de bl\u00e9 dur 48 ha de ma\u00efs semence 17 ha de concombre semence 35 ha de <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/auto-formation\/sequence3\/cours-1-lagriculture-une-activite-risquee\/lecon-23-chance-constrained-model-et-target-motad\/activite-23-target-motad-solution\/\">Continuer la lecture <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">  Activit\u00e9 24 : Target MOTAD &#8211; Solution<\/span><span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":92,"featured_media":0,"parent":2145,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-2772","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2772","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/92"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2772"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2772\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2998,"href":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2772\/revisions\/2998"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/2145"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.supagro.fr\/wordpress\/modeleco\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2772"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}