Activity 28 A : « Centre-Val de Loire » model – Interpreting an output file – Crop succession over time

Length : around 30 minutes

The modelEco_dynamique.gms model written in lesson 28 covers a period of 20 years.

Observe the lst. file. What rotations are carried out by the farmer ? What impact does the initial cropping pattern have ?  What can you say about the “EPS” that appear in the marginal values of variables ? How can the dual value of the ROT constraint be interpreted ?

« An arable crop farmer that grows special crops (INOSYS Système GC 131 data) in the Centre-Val de Loire region has 110 ha of land. Irrigation and the economic environment of his farm offer him a large range of productions options : soft wheat, durum wheat, spring barley, potato for human consumption, sugar beet and rapeseed. Five of these crop types are irrigated in order to ensure high quality regular production. The farmer has 60 000 m3 of water.

Irrigation needs and economic data are shown in the table below :

Irrigation water needs
Crops Vol in m3/ha
Soft wheat 175
Durum wheat 350
Spring barley 700
Potato for human consumption 1800
Sugar beet 1750
Other technico-economic data
Crops Yields (qx/ha) Prices/qx (€) Total costs (€/ha)
Soft wheat 85 16 460
Durum wheat 71 28 565
Spring barley 70 17.5 470
Potato for human consumption 495 14 4210
Sugar beet 950 2.6 1082
Rapeseed 40 38 490

Source : from the Système GC 131 of the INOSYS network of agricultural chambers in the Centre Val de Loire region. 2016

Crop yields depend on previous crops (a zero means that it is not possible to cultivate a given crop with that previous crop) :

Crops Previous crops
Soft wheat Durum wheat Sugar beet Rapeseed Potato for human consumption Barley
Soft wheat 0 80 85 85 85 80
Durum wheat 65 0 70 70 70 65
Sugar beet 950 950 0 0 0 950
Rapeseed 40 40 0 0 0 40
Potato for human consumption 495 4954 0 0 0 495
Barley 70 60 70 70 70 0

The initial cropping pattern is as follows : 10 ha of soft wheat, 20 ha of durum wheat, 30 ha of sugar beet, 0 ha of rapeseed, 40 ha of potato and 10 ha of barley.

The farmer maximizes his profit every year. »

Then check the solution : solution